Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.000944 0.001071 0.001205 0.001357 0.001523 0.001698 0.001898
2025-03-09 0.000717 0.000889 0.001083 0.001315 0.001585 0.001887 0.002247
2025-03-16 0.000592 0.000780 0.001002 0.001278 0.001612 0.001996 0.002471
2025-03-23 0.000512 0.000712 0.000958 0.001276 0.001670 0.002140 0.002733
2025-03-30 0.000450 0.000659 0.000923 0.001276 0.001725 0.002273 0.002980
2025-04-06 0.000396 0.000607 0.000884 0.001264 0.001762 0.002380 0.003194
2025-04-13 0.000346 0.000556 0.000841 0.001242 0.001780 0.002462 0.003375
2025-04-20 0.000320 0.000536 0.000836 0.001270 0.001861 0.002624 0.003660
2025-04-27 0.000295 0.000514 0.000826 0.001287 0.001929 0.002768 0.003923
2025-05-04 0.000263 0.000479 0.000796 0.001273 0.001951 0.002851 0.004108
2025-05-11 0.000233 0.000443 0.000760 0.001249 0.001956 0.002911 0.004262
2025-05-18 0.000216 0.000426 0.000751 0.001263 0.002015 0.003042 0.004512
2025-05-25 0.000199 0.000407 0.000740 0.001273 0.002068 0.003169 0.004761
2025-06-01 0.000173 0.000372 0.000699 0.001237 0.002053 0.003201 0.004881
2025-06-08 0.000151 0.000340 0.000661 0.001200 0.002036 0.003226 0.004990
2025-06-15 0.000137 0.000323 0.000645 0.001198 0.002068 0.003322 0.005199
2025-06-22 0.000125 0.000307 0.000631 0.001198 0.002102 0.003422 0.005414
2025-06-29 0.000113 0.000289 0.000612 0.001187 0.002119 0.003496 0.005593
2025-07-06 0.000100 0.000269 0.000587 0.001166 0.002119 0.003543 0.005735
2025-07-13 0.000095 0.000264 0.000590 0.001192 0.002194 0.003703 0.006041
2025-07-20 0.000089 0.000257 0.000588 0.001209 0.002254 0.003841 0.006318
2025-07-27 0.000080 0.000242 0.000570 0.001196 0.002264 0.003904 0.006485
2025-08-03 0.000071 0.000225 0.000547 0.001173 0.002257 0.003941 0.006614